PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID TAMPA BAY PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST BUFFALO?

FEB 3, 2026 · BENCHMARK INTERNATIONAL ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINAL/OTBUF 3, TBL 4
AFTER 2BUF 1, TBL 1
REAL PULLTBL 1:38
MODELWHISTLE 10.7%
REAL ONE10.3%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSBUF 26, TBL 35

The pull worked. Tampa Bay pulled Vasilevskiy with 1:38 left, down one, and Raddysh tied it with 0:26 left, six on five. By the model the call at 5:07 graded FAIR: 10.3% to win, against 10.7% for AT THE NEXT WHISTLE. Tampa Bay won 4-3 in overtime.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Tampa Bay faced with 5:07 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
10.7AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
10.3WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
10.2PULL HIM NOW
THE REAL CALL

VASILEVSKIY STAYED IN UNTIL 1:38, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

Third period: time left. Overtime: time into it.

1:38VASILEVSKIY TO THE BENCH. TBL GOES 6 ON 5.
0:26RADDYSH SCORES. BUF 3, TBL 3.
OT 4:45GUENTZEL SCORES. BUF 3, TBL 4.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE LIGHTNING SCORED TWO IN THE THIRD, BUFFALO SCORED TWO, AND THE LIGHTNING WON 4-3 IN OVERTIME.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.