PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID EDMONTON PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST CALGARY?

FEB 4, 2026 · SCOTIABANK SADDLEDOME · THE GAUNTLET

FINALEDM 3, CGY 4
AFTER 2EDM 2, CGY 3
REAL PULLEDM 1:25
MODELNOW 7.0%
REAL ONE5.8%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSEDM 39, CGY 25

Edmonton pulled too late, by the model. Jarry went to the bench with 1:25 left, down one. With 2:06 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 7.0% to win; the real pull was worth 5.8%, graded COSTLY. Calgary won 4-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Edmonton faced with 2:06 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
7.0PULL HIM NOW BEST
5.8WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
5.5AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
THE REAL CALL

JARRY STAYED IN UNTIL 1:25, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:25JARRY TO THE BENCH. EDM GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE OILERS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, CALGARY SCORED ONE, AND CALGARY WON 4-3.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.