DID EDMONTON PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST CALGARY?
FEB 4, 2026 · SCOTIABANK SADDLEDOME · THE GAUNTLET
FINALEDM 3, CGY 4
AFTER 2EDM 2, CGY 3
REAL PULLEDM 1:25
MODELNOW 7.0%
REAL ONE5.8%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSEDM 39, CGY 25
Edmonton pulled too late, by the model. Jarry went to the bench with 1:25 left, down one. With 2:06 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 7.0% to win; the real pull was worth 5.8%, graded COSTLY. Calgary won 4-3.
THE MODEL'S CALL
The call Edmonton faced with 2:06 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.
| WIN % | CALL |
|---|---|
| 7.0 | PULL HIM NOW BEST |
| 5.8 | WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL |
| 5.5 | AT THE NEXT WHISTLE |
THE REAL CALL
JARRY STAYED IN UNTIL 1:25, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.
THE LAST FIVE MINUTES
| 1:25 | JARRY TO THE BENCH. EDM GOES 6 ON 5. |
TIMEOUTS
Neither team called its timeout.
WHAT HAPPENED
THE OILERS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, CALGARY SCORED ONE, AND CALGARY WON 4-3.