PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID THE RANGERS PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST CAROLINA?

FEB 5, 2026 · MADISON SQUARE GARDEN · THE GAUNTLET

FINALCAR 2, NYR 0
AFTER 2CAR 1, NYR 0
REAL PULLNYR 1:40
MODELWHISTLE 9.4%
REAL ONE8.8%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSCAR 43, NYR 16

The Rangers pulled a little late, by the model. Quick went to the bench with 1:40 left, down one. With 3:40 left, the best call on the board was AT THE NEXT WHISTLE, 9.4% to win; the real pull was worth 8.8%, graded FAIR. Carolina hit the empty net with 0:54 left. Carolina won 2-0.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call the Rangers faced with 3:40 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
9.4AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
9.1PULL HIM NOW
8.8WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
THE REAL CALL

QUICK STAYED IN UNTIL 1:40, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:40QUICK TO THE BENCH. NYR GOES 6 ON 5.
0:54STAAL SCORES. CAR 2, NYR 0.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE RANGERS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, CAROLINA SCORED ONE, AND CAROLINA WON 2-0.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.