PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID NEW JERSEY PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST THE ISLANDERS?

FEB 5, 2026 · PRUDENTIAL CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALNYI 3, NJD 1
AFTER 2NYI 1, NJD 1
REAL PULLNJD 2:25
MODELWHISTLE 8.5%
REAL ONE8.7%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSNYI 14, NJD 24

New Jersey pulled Allen with 2:25 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. The Islanders hit the empty net with 0:24 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 3:27 graded GOOD CALL, 8.7% to win against a best of 8.5%. The Islanders won 3-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call New Jersey faced with 3:27 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
8.5AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
8.3PULL HIM NOW
8.0WAIT UNTIL 1:30
8.7THE REAL PULL, 2:25 REAL
THE REAL CALL

ALLEN STAYED IN UNTIL 2:25, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:27HORVAT SCORES. NYI 2, NJD 1.
2:25ALLEN TO THE BENCH. NJD GOES 6 ON 5.
0:24BARZAL SCORES. NYI 3, NJD 1.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE DEVILS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, THE ISLANDERS SCORED TWO, AND THE ISLANDERS WON 3-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.