PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID FLORIDA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST BUFFALO?

FEB 27, 2026 · AMERANT BANK ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALBUF 3, FLA 2
AFTER 2BUF 1, FLA 1
REAL PULLFLA 0:33
MODELNOW 1.3%
REAL ONE1.3%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSBUF 39, FLA 29

Florida pulled Tarasov with 0:33 left, down one (he had come out once already, with 2:03 left), and never got the tying goal. Buffalo hit the empty net with 1:17 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 0:35 graded GOOD CALL, 1.3% to win against a best of 1.3%. Buffalo won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Florida faced with 0:35 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
1.3PULL HIM NOW BEST REAL
1.1AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
1.1WAIT UNTIL 0:05
THE REAL CALL

TARASOV CAME OUT RIGHT OFF THE DRAW, WITH 0:33 LEFT.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:03TARASOV TO THE BENCH. FLA GOES 6 ON 5.
1:17KREBS SCORES. BUF 3, FLA 1.
1:11TARASOV TO THE BENCH. FLA GOES 6 ON 5.
0:35BENNETT SCORES. BUF 3, FLA 2.
0:33TARASOV TO THE BENCH. FLA GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE PANTHERS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, BUFFALO SCORED TWO, AND BUFFALO WON 3-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.