PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID VEGAS PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST BUFFALO?

MAR 3, 2026 · KEYBANK CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALVGK 2, BUF 3
AFTER 2VGK 2, BUF 3
REAL PULLVGK 1:31
MODELNOW 8.0%
REAL ONE6.7%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSVGK 29, BUF 28

Vegas pulled too late, by the model. Schmid went to the bench with 1:31 left, down one. With 2:46 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 8.0% to win; the real pull was worth 6.7%, graded COSTLY. Buffalo won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Vegas faced with 2:46 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
8.0PULL HIM NOW BEST
7.0AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
6.7WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
THE REAL CALL

SCHMID STAYED IN UNTIL 1:31, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

1:31SCHMID TO THE BENCH. VGK GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, BUFFALO SCORED NOTHING, AND BUFFALO WON 3-2.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

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