PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID SEATTLE PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST ST. LOUIS?

MAR 4, 2026 · CLIMATE PLEDGE ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALSTL 3, SEA 2
AFTER 2STL 2, SEA 1
REAL PULLSEA 1:44
MODELNOW 15.0%
REAL ONE14.1%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSSTL 27, SEA 36

Seattle pulled late, by the model. Grubauer went to the bench with 1:44 left, down one. With 2:06 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 15.0% to win; the real pull was worth 14.1%, graded A BIT COSTLY. St. Louis won 3-2.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Seattle faced with 2:06 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
15.0PULL HIM NOW BEST
13.9WAIT UNTIL 1:30
13.6AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
14.1THE REAL PULL, 1:44 REAL
THE REAL CALL

GRUBAUER STAYED IN UNTIL 1:44, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:06FAULK PENALTY. DELAYING GAME PUCK OVER GLASS.
1:44GRUBAUER TO THE BENCH. SEA GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE KRAKEN SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, ST. LOUIS SCORED ONE, AND ST. LOUIS WON 3-2.

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