PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID CALGARY PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST OTTAWA?

MAR 5, 2026 · SCOTIABANK SADDLEDOME · THE GAUNTLET

FINALOTT 4, CGY 1
AFTER 2OTT 1, CGY 1
REAL PULLCGY 1:23
MODELNOW 0.8%
REAL ONE0.6%
GRADEA BIT COSTLY
SHOTSOTT 37, CGY 20

Calgary pulled late, by the model. Cooley went to the bench with 1:23 left, down two (he had come out once already, with 2:12 left). With 2:01 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 0.8% to win; the real pull was worth 0.6%, graded A BIT COSTLY. Ottawa hit the empty net with 2:01 left and with 0:14 left. Ottawa won 4-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Calgary faced with 2:01 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
0.8PULL HIM NOW BEST
0.6WAIT UNTIL 1:30 REAL
0.6AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
THE REAL CALL

COOLEY STAYED IN UNTIL 1:23, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:37ZUB PENALTY. INTERFERENCE.
2:12COOLEY TO THE BENCH. CGY GOES 6 ON 5.
2:01STUTZLE SCORES. OTT 3, CGY 1.
1:23COOLEY TO THE BENCH. CGY GOES 6 ON 5.
0:14PINTO SCORES. OTT 4, CGY 1.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE FLAMES SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, OTTAWA SCORED THREE, AND OTTAWA WON 4-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

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