PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID PITTSBURGH PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST CAROLINA?

MAR 10, 2026 · LENOVO CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINAL/SOPIT 4, CAR 5
AFTER 2PIT 2, CAR 1
REAL PULLPIT 1:43
MODELNOW 6.2%
REAL ONE6.4%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSPIT 28, CAR 44

The pull worked. Pittsburgh pulled Skinner with 1:43 left, down one, and Rust tied it with 0:36 left, six on five. By the model the call at 2:08 graded GOOD CALL too: 6.4% to win, as good as anything on the board. Carolina won 5-4 in a shootout.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Pittsburgh faced with 2:08 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
6.2PULL HIM NOW BEST
6.2WAIT UNTIL 1:30
6.0AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
6.4THE REAL PULL, 1:43 REAL
THE REAL CALL

SKINNER STAYED IN UNTIL 1:43, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

Third period: time left. Overtime: time into it.

2:28SKINNER TO THE BENCH. PIT GOES 6 ON 5.
2:08ACCIARI SCORES. PIT 3, CAR 4.
1:43SKINNER TO THE BENCH. PIT GOES 6 ON 5.
0:36RUST SCORES. PIT 4, CAR 4.
OT 2:31SLAVIN PENALTY. SLASHING.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE PENGUINS SCORED TWO IN THE THIRD, CAROLINA SCORED THREE, AND CAROLINA WON 5-4 IN A SHOOTOUT.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.