PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID WASHINGTON PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST PHILADELPHIA?

MAR 11, 2026 · XFINITY MOBILE ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALWSH 1, PHI 4
AFTER 2WSH 1, PHI 2
REAL PULLWSH 2:32
MODELNOW 0.9%
REAL ONE0.7%
GRADECOSTLY
SHOTSWSH 23, PHI 22

Washington pulled too late, by the model. Thompson went to the bench with 2:32 left, down two. With 3:00 left, the best call on the board was PULL HIM NOW, 0.9% to win; the real pull was worth 0.7%, graded COSTLY. Philadelphia hit the empty net with 1:03 left. Philadelphia won 4-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Washington faced with 3:00 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
0.9PULL HIM NOW BEST
0.6AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
0.5WAIT UNTIL 1:30
0.7THE REAL PULL, 2:32 REAL
THE REAL CALL

THOMPSON STAYED IN UNTIL 2:32, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:32THOMPSON TO THE BENCH. WSH GOES 6 ON 5.
1:59THOMPSON TO THE BENCH. WSH GOES 6 ON 5.
1:03TIPPETT SCORES. WSH 1, PHI 4.
0:00DUHAIME PENALTY. ROUGHING.
0:00GREBENKIN PENALTY. ROUGHING.
0:00GREBENKIN PENALTY. ROUGHING.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE CAPITALS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, PHILADELPHIA SCORED TWO, AND PHILADELPHIA WON 4-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

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