DID DETROIT PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST TAMPA BAY?
MAR 12, 2026 · BENCHMARK INTERNATIONAL ARENA · THE GAUNTLET
FINALDET 1, TBL 4
AFTER 2DET 0, TBL 1
REAL PULLDET 3:33
MODELNOW 1.0%
REAL ONE1.0%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSDET 25, TBL 29
Detroit pulled Gibson with 3:33 left, down two, and never got the tying goal. Tampa Bay hit the empty net with 3:05 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 3:38 graded GOOD CALL, 1.0% to win against a best of 1.0%. Tampa Bay won 4-1.
THE MODEL'S CALL
The call Detroit faced with 3:38 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.
| WIN % | CALL |
|---|---|
| 1.0 | PULL HIM NOW BEST REAL |
| 1.0 | AT THE NEXT WHISTLE |
| 0.7 | WAIT UNTIL 1:30 |
THE REAL CALL
GIBSON CAME OUT RIGHT OFF THE DRAW, WITH 3:33 LEFT.
THE LAST FIVE MINUTES
| 3:38 | GONCALVES SCORES. DET 1, TBL 3. |
| 3:33 | GIBSON TO THE BENCH. DET GOES 6 ON 5. |
| 3:05 | GUENTZEL SCORES. DET 1, TBL 4. |
TIMEOUTS
Neither team called its timeout.
WHAT HAPPENED
THE RED WINGS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, TAMPA BAY SCORED THREE, AND TAMPA BAY WON 4-1.