PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID DETROIT PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST TAMPA BAY?

MAR 12, 2026 · BENCHMARK INTERNATIONAL ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALDET 1, TBL 4
AFTER 2DET 0, TBL 1
REAL PULLDET 3:33
MODELNOW 1.0%
REAL ONE1.0%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSDET 25, TBL 29

Detroit pulled Gibson with 3:33 left, down two, and never got the tying goal. Tampa Bay hit the empty net with 3:05 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 3:38 graded GOOD CALL, 1.0% to win against a best of 1.0%. Tampa Bay won 4-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Detroit faced with 3:38 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
1.0PULL HIM NOW BEST REAL
1.0AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
0.7WAIT UNTIL 1:30
THE REAL CALL

GIBSON CAME OUT RIGHT OFF THE DRAW, WITH 3:33 LEFT.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:38GONCALVES SCORES. DET 1, TBL 3.
3:33GIBSON TO THE BENCH. DET GOES 6 ON 5.
3:05GUENTZEL SCORES. DET 1, TBL 4.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE RED WINGS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, TAMPA BAY SCORED THREE, AND TAMPA BAY WON 4-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.