PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID CAROLINA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST ST. LOUIS?

MAR 12, 2026 · LENOVO CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALSTL 3, CAR 1
AFTER 2STL 1, CAR 1
REAL PULLCAR 2:45
MODELWHISTLE 10.4%
REAL ONE10.4%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSSTL 17, CAR 32

Carolina pulled Bussi with 2:45 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. St. Louis hit the empty net with 0:51 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 4:48 graded GOOD CALL, 10.4% to win against a best of 10.4%. St. Louis won 3-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Carolina faced with 4:48 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
10.4AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST REAL
9.9WAIT UNTIL 1:30
9.8PULL HIM NOW
THE REAL CALL

BUSSI STAYED IN FOR THE DRAW. PULLED AT THE 2:45 WHISTLE (PUCK IN NETTING) FOR AN OFFENSIVE ZONE DRAW.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

4:48SNUGGERUD SCORES. STL 2, CAR 1.
2:45BUSSI TO THE BENCH. CAR GOES 6 ON 5.
0:51BUCHNEVICH SCORES. STL 3, CAR 1.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE HURRICANES SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, ST. LOUIS SCORED TWO, AND ST. LOUIS WON 3-1.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.