DID THE ISLANDERS PULL THE GOALIE TOO EARLY AGAINST CAROLINA?
APR 4, 2026 · LENOVO CENTER · THE GAUNTLET
FINALNYI 3, CAR 4
AFTER 2NYI 2, CAR 3
REAL PULLNYI 1:31
MODELWAIT 1:07 5.0%
REAL ONE4.9%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSNYI 16, CAR 40
The Islanders went a little early, by the model. Sorokin came out with 1:31 left, down one (he had come out once already, with 3:28 left). With 1:37 left the model liked WAIT UNTIL 1:07: 5.0% to win, against 4.9% for the real pull, graded FAIR. Carolina won 4-3.
THE MODEL'S CALL
The call the Islanders faced with 1:37 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.
| WIN % | CALL |
|---|---|
| 5.0 | WAIT UNTIL 1:07 BEST |
| 4.9 | PULL HIM NOW REAL |
| 4.8 | AT THE NEXT WHISTLE |
THE REAL CALL
SOROKIN CAME OUT RIGHT OFF THE DRAW, WITH 1:31 LEFT.
THE LAST FIVE MINUTES
| 3:28 | SOROKIN TO THE BENCH. NYI GOES 6 ON 5. |
| 1:37 | LEE SCORES. NYI 3, CAR 4. |
| 1:31 | SOROKIN TO THE BENCH. NYI GOES 6 ON 5. |
TIMEOUTS
Neither team called its timeout.
WHAT HAPPENED
THE ISLANDERS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, CAROLINA SCORED ONE, AND CAROLINA WON 4-3.