PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID THE ISLANDERS PULL THE GOALIE TOO EARLY AGAINST CAROLINA?

APR 4, 2026 · LENOVO CENTER · THE GAUNTLET

FINALNYI 3, CAR 4
AFTER 2NYI 2, CAR 3
REAL PULLNYI 1:31
MODELWAIT 1:07 5.0%
REAL ONE4.9%
GRADEFAIR
SHOTSNYI 16, CAR 40

The Islanders went a little early, by the model. Sorokin came out with 1:31 left, down one (he had come out once already, with 3:28 left). With 1:37 left the model liked WAIT UNTIL 1:07: 5.0% to win, against 4.9% for the real pull, graded FAIR. Carolina won 4-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call the Islanders faced with 1:37 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
5.0WAIT UNTIL 1:07 BEST
4.9PULL HIM NOW REAL
4.8AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
THE REAL CALL

SOROKIN CAME OUT RIGHT OFF THE DRAW, WITH 1:31 LEFT.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:28SOROKIN TO THE BENCH. NYI GOES 6 ON 5.
1:37LEE SCORES. NYI 3, CAR 4.
1:31SOROKIN TO THE BENCH. NYI GOES 6 ON 5.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE ISLANDERS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, CAROLINA SCORED ONE, AND CAROLINA WON 4-3.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.