PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID CAROLINA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST OTTAWA?

APR 5, 2026 · CANADIAN TIRE CENTRE · THE GAUNTLET

FINALCAR 3, OTT 6
AFTER 2CAR 2, OTT 3
REAL PULLCAR 2:25
MODELNOW 0.6%
REAL ONE0.6%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSCAR 28, OTT 31

Carolina pulled Andersen with 2:25 left, down two, and never got the tying goal. Ottawa hit the empty net with 0:57 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 2:30 graded GOOD CALL, 0.6% to win against a best of 0.6%. Ottawa won 6-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Carolina faced with 2:30 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
0.6PULL HIM NOW BEST REAL
0.5AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
0.5WAIT UNTIL 1:30
THE REAL CALL

ANDERSEN CAME OUT RIGHT OFF THE DRAW, WITH 2:25 LEFT.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

2:30HALL SCORES. CAR 3, OTT 5.
2:25ANDERSEN TO THE BENCH. CAR GOES 6 ON 5.
0:57GIROUX SCORES. CAR 3, OTT 6.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE HURRICANES SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, OTTAWA SCORED THREE, AND OTTAWA WON 6-3.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

This third is in the Gauntlet's pool of real 2025-26 thirds. A run draws them at random.