PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID DETROIT PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST NEW JERSEY?

APR 11, 2026 · LITTLE CAESARS ARENA · THE GAUNTLET

FINALNJD 5, DET 3
AFTER 2NJD 2, DET 2
REAL PULLDET 2:15
MODELWHISTLE 8.7%
REAL ONE8.9%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSNJD 33, DET 28

Detroit pulled Gibson with 2:15 left, down one, and never got the tying goal. New Jersey hit the empty net with 1:00 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 3:34 graded GOOD CALL, 8.9% to win against a best of 8.7%. New Jersey won 5-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Detroit faced with 3:34 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
8.7AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
8.5PULL HIM NOW
8.2WAIT UNTIL 1:30
8.9THE REAL PULL, 2:15 REAL
THE REAL CALL

GIBSON STAYED IN UNTIL 2:15, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:34BRATT SCORES. NJD 4, DET 3.
2:15GIBSON TO THE BENCH. DET GOES 6 ON 5.
1:00MERCER SCORES. NJD 5, DET 3.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE RED WINGS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, NEW JERSEY SCORED THREE, AND NEW JERSEY WON 5-3.

PLAY THE GAUNTLET

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