PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID WASHINGTON PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST MINNESOTA?

NOV 1, 2026 · CAPITAL ONE ARENA · DAILY #006

FINALMIN 5, WSH 1
AFTER 2MIN 2, WSH 1
REAL PULLWSH 2:06
MODELNOW 0.5%
REAL ONE0.5%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSMIN 28, WSH 27

Washington pulled Thompson with 2:06 left, down two, and never got the tying goal. Minnesota hit the empty net with 0:58 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 2:23 graded GOOD CALL, 0.5% to win against a best of 0.5%. Minnesota won 5-1.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Washington faced with 2:23 left, down two, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
0.5PULL HIM NOW BEST
0.5AT THE NEXT WHISTLE
0.4WAIT UNTIL 1:30
0.5THE REAL PULL, 2:06 REAL
THE REAL CALL

THOMPSON STAYED IN UNTIL 2:06, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:50WILSON PENALTY. HIGH STICKING.
2:27MIN TIMEOUT.
2:23SHABANOV SCORES. MIN 3, WSH 1.
2:06THOMPSON TO THE BENCH. WSH GOES 6 ON 5.
0:58KAPRIZOV SCORES. MIN 4, WSH 1.
0:58WILSON PENALTY. CROSS CHECKING.
0:58WILSON PENALTY. MISCONDUCT.
0:58THOMPSON BACK IN NET FOR THE DRAW.
0:41LILJEGREN PENALTY. DELAYING GAME PUCK OVER GLASS.
0:25YUROV SCORES. MIN 5, WSH 1.

TIMEOUTS

Minnesota called its timeout in the third period, with 2:27 left.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE CAPITALS SCORED NOTHING IN THE THIRD, MINNESOTA SCORED THREE, AND MINNESOTA WON 5-1.

PLAY THIS BENCH

Daily #006. Archive games don't count toward your streak.