PULL THE
GOALIE
PLAY

DID FLORIDA PULL THE GOALIE TOO LATE AGAINST DETROIT?

NOV 2, 2026 · AMERANT BANK ARENA · DAILY #007

FINALDET 5, FLA 3
AFTER 2DET 2, FLA 2
REAL PULLFLA 2:08
MODELWHISTLE 8.3%
REAL ONE8.5%
GRADEGOOD CALL
SHOTSDET 29, FLA 26

Florida pulled Markstrom with 2:08 left, down one (he had come out once already, with 3:42 left), and never got the tying goal. Detroit hit the empty net with 0:03 left. The timing wasn't the problem: by the model the call at 3:20 graded GOOD CALL, 8.5% to win against a best of 8.3%. Detroit won 5-3.

THE MODEL'S CALL

The call Florida faced with 3:20 left, down one, and each option's chance to win by the model.

WIN %CALL
8.3AT THE NEXT WHISTLE BEST
8.2PULL HIM NOW
7.8WAIT UNTIL 1:30
8.5THE REAL PULL, 2:08 REAL
THE REAL CALL

MARKSTROM STAYED IN UNTIL 2:08, THEN CAME OUT ON THE FLY.

Where the chances come from: three seasons of NHL data.

THE LAST FIVE MINUTES

3:42MARKSTROM TO THE BENCH. FLA GOES 6 ON 5.
3:20BENNETT SCORES. DET 4, FLA 3.
3:20MARKSTROM BACK IN NET FOR THE DRAW.
2:08MARKSTROM TO THE BENCH. FLA GOES 6 ON 5.
0:03FINNIE SCORES. DET 5, FLA 3.
0:03MARKSTROM BACK IN NET FOR THE DRAW.

TIMEOUTS

Neither team called its timeout.

WHAT HAPPENED

THE PANTHERS SCORED ONE IN THE THIRD, DETROIT SCORED THREE, AND DETROIT WON 5-3.

PLAY THIS BENCH

Daily #007. Archive games don't count toward your streak.